Usamah Bin Laden
is dead, along with most of Al-Qaeda’s leadership; Anwar al-Awlaki is also
dead, and after a decade of war in Afghanistan
and Iraq ,
the Arabs are calling for freedom and democracy on the streets. A suitable time
for reflection, and one would expect the Taliban to reflect on the strategy of
armed struggle to impose Sharia laws with an iron fist as a way forward. But,
it seems business as usual for them, and so they began their “spring offensive”
last week, the biggest offensive for a decade on Kabul , targeting the British, US and German
embassies as well as the parliament building and the NATO military camp.
Concurrently, 100 Taliban fighters attacked a prison inside Pakistan
releasing about 400 Taliban fighters.
For sure the
current regime in Afghanistan
has the stamp ‘made in USA ’
with a sell by date - it is very fragile. The US is keen to withdraw its forces
sooner, rather than later, as it is forced to cut its war budget facing a
mountain of debt. This is all building up to a significant turning point in Afghanistan ,
and a good time for the various parties to consider about bringing peace and
prosperity for all in the country. However, the signs look ominous with the
Taliban offensive. In anticipation of the vacuum that will be left by the vacating
US forces, the various factions seeking to protect tribal interests may engage
militarily, eventually descending back to civil war.